Resolution Capital Real Assets (WHT0014AU) Report & Performance

What is the Resolution Capital Real Assets fund?

The Resolution Capital Real Assets Fund was previously known as the Resolution Capital Core Plus Property Securities Fund. The Fund aims to exceed the total return of the Benchmark after fees on a rolling 3 year basis. It gives Investors access to a professionally managed portfolio of Australian listed real estate, typically known as A-REITs, and Australian listed infrastructure investment securities. The underlying assets of the investments include commercial real estate assets such as office buildings, shopping centres and logistics warehouses as well as infrastructure assets such as airports, pipelines, toll roads and public utilities. Resolution Capital seeks to further enhance returns by investing up to 20% of the Real Assets Fund in global real estate and infrastructure securities listed on international stock exchanges. The Fund invests primarily in Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts (‘A-REITs) and real estate securities (minimum of 50% of the portfolio), but also has the ability to invest in Australian listed infrastructure securities (‘ALI’) and up to 20% in global listed real estate and infrastructure securities (global portion).

Growth of $1000 Investment Over Time

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Resolution Capital Real Assets Fund Commentary September 30, 2023

The S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT Total Return Index produced a total return of -8.7% for the month ended 30 September 2023, underperforming the Australian equities market (S&P/ASX 300 Total Return Index). A-REITs underperformed as global bond yields rose significantly over the month with fewer 2024 Federal Reserve interest rate cuts now expected in the U.S.

The Australian 10-year bond yield is at the highest level in more than a decade. Australian listed infrastructure outperformed property.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held the cash rate at 4.1% in September in line with expectations but again noted “some further tightening may be required” depending on economic data. August inflation re-accelerated and the unemployment rate held at 3.7%.

Within A-REITs the office and industrial sectors outperformed, whilst retail and property fund managers underperformed. Broadly, the Portfolio’s infrastructure exposure contributed to relative performance.

Outperforming A-REITs included land lease community developer Ingenia Communities (INA) and Centuria Industrial REIT (CIP). Media speculation suggested INA was close to selling some seniors living assets. CIP sold two assets at Jun-23 book values whilst the stock price implies significant property devaluations. The Portfolio’s overweight positions in INA and CIP contributed to relative performance.

Underperforming A-REITs included interest rate sensitive property fund managers Cromwell (CMW), Charter Hall (CHC) and Home Consortium (HMC). High interest rates present headwinds to earnings via downward pressure on asset valuations and therefore management fees, as well as limiting transactional activity and equity inflows. The Portfolio’s underweight positioning in property fund managers contributed to relative performance.

Several A-REITs announced management changes. GPT appointed Charter Hall’s current Chief Financial Officer (CFO) as its new CEO. Soon after Charter Hall announced GPT’s current CFO would replace its outgoing CFO. Elsewhere, neighbourhood shopping centre landlord Region Group (RGN) announced the resignation of its Chief Operating Officer. At the start of October, Cromwell Property Group announced the resignation of its Chief Financial Officer.

Turning to deals, fund manager Centuria Capital (CNI) announced a new $500m institutional mandate targeting industrial assets.

With respect to transactions, the media reported that a partnership managed by retail landlord Vicinity Centres (VCX) sold Midland Gate, a regional shopping centre in Perth, for ~$465m representing an almost 15% discount to its pre-pandemic valuation. No yield was disclosed. Elsewhere, a property syndicator acquired a 50% stake in the Stockland Townsville shopping centre at a 12% discount to Jun-23 book value representing a ~8% yield.

In infrastructure, toll road operator Transurban (TCL) saw the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) oppose its proposed acquisition of a majority interest in the Victorian Eastlink toll road. The ACCC’s decision was on the basis that the transaction would lessen competition for future toll road concessions in the state. Separately, TCL appointed its current Head of Victoria and Strategy to the vacant CFO slot after the former CFO was promoted to CEO. The Portfolio’s TCL position contributed to relative performance.

Portfolio holding U.K. water utility Severn Trent (SVT) raised £1bn of equity representing ~18% of shares outstanding to help fund a large capex pipeline which will see the regulated asset base grow ~6% p.a. between 2025-30 on a real basis. The Portfolio participated in the raising. The Portfolio’s SVT position contributed to relative performance.

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Performance Review

Fund Name Last Month
? Returns after fees in the most recent (last) month).
3 Months Return
? Returns after fees in the most recent 3 months.
1 Year Return
? Trailing 12 month returns.
3 Years Average Return
? Average Annual returns from the last 3 years.
Since Inc. Average Return
? Average (annualised) returns since inception
1 Year Std. Dev. (Annual)
? The standard deviation (or annual volatility) of the last 12 months.
3 Years Std. Dev. (Annual)
? The average standard deviation (or annual volatility) from the last 3 years.
Since Inc. Std. Dev. (Annual)
? The average standard deviation (or annual volatility) since the fund inception.
1 Year Max Drawdown
? The maximum drawdown in the last 12 months - a drawdown is a peak-to-trough decline during a specific period for an investment, trading account, or fund.
3 Year Max Drawdown
? The maximum drawdown in the last 36 months - a drawdown is a peak-to-trough decline during a specific period for an investment, trading account, or fund.
Since Inc. Max Drawdown
? The maximum drawdown since inception - a drawdown is a peak-to-trough decline during a specific period for an investment, trading account, or fund.
Resolution Capital Real Assets6.24%13.98%44.56%9.48%15.73%16.97%20.23%42.5%-6.25%-25.54%-45.06%

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What is Resolution Capital Real Assets

Resolution Capital Real Assets is an Managed Funds investment product that is benchmarked against ASX Index 200 A-REIT Index and sits inside the Property - Australian Listed Property Index. Think of a benchmark as a standard where investment performance can be measured. Typically, market indices like the ASX200 and market-segment stock indexes are used for this purpose. The Resolution Capital Real Assets has Assets Under Management of 14.88 M with a management fee of 0.65%, a performance fee of 0 and a buy/sell spread fee of 0.41%.

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Historical Performance Commentary

Performance Commentary - August 31, 2023

The S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT Total Return Index produced a total return of 2.2% for the month ended 31 August 2023, outperforming the Australian equities market (S&P/ASX 300 Total Return Index). Australian listed Infrastructure underperformed property.

The relative strong A-REIT sector performance was largely driven by industrial landlord and developer Goodman Group (GMG).

Consequently, within A-REITs the industrial sector outperformed, specialist and retail sectors trailed slightly whilst the office and diversified sectors underperformed. Broadly, the Portfolio’s infrastructure exposure detracted from relative performance.

August was filled with FY23 earnings results and maiden FY24 earnings guidance. Outperforming A-REITs included industrial REIT Goodman Group. Goodman reported strong operating fundamentals, guided to a near sector-leading 9% FY24 earnings growth and disclosed a large data centre pipeline underpinning future development earnings.

The Portfolio’s underweight position in GMG detracted from relative performance.

Underperforming A-REITs included office and industrial landlord Growthpoint (GOZ) and diversified Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (CLW). Both companies have above sector average financial leverage. Higher debt costs are a key drag as GOZ guided to -15% FY24 earnings growth and CLW -7% for FY24 after -8% in FY23. The Portfolio’s underweight positions in GOZ and CLW contributed to relative performance.

Key A-REIT reporting season themes include:

• Few A-REITs will grow earnings in FY24 owing to higher debt costs overwhelming revenue growth.

• More FY24 earnings guidance misses than beats, generally due to new interest rate hedging crystallising higher FY24 debt costs.

• Office remains challenging. Occupancy was broadly stable though some reported declines. Tenant incentives remain elevated and the tone softened on proposed developments. Several A-REITs are trying to sell assets though buyers remain cautious. Dexus (DXS) sold 1 Margaret St, Sydney for 21% below Jun-22 book value and retained an equity holding given the acquirer could not raise all of the required capital.

• Retail metrics were encouraging. Occupancy is high (>98.5%), leasing spreads improved to flat/positive and retailers are generally in good financial shape heading into a tougher environment. Supply of new centres is low. Sales growth is decelerating into FY24, particularly for discretionary categories, likely impacting occupancy and leasing spreads. Rising property expenses inc luding insurance/utilities/taxes are pressuring net rent growth.

• Industrial conditions remain favourable though there are some signs of demand softening from a high base. Occupancy is high (~99%), supply is delayed due to planning and new deal rents accelerated in 2H23 to >20% above in-place rents. Mirvac (MGR), Stockland (SGP) and GPT continue to prioritise growing industrial exposure, generally via development.

• Residential sentiment is subdued near-term with more optimism into CY24 if interest rates stabilise. Affordability is constraining demand and first home buyers are absent, hit by lower borrowing capacity. Sales are at historically low levels though sequentially improving from the 2022 trough. Enquiry has lifted but conversion is slow. Buyer defaults are above cyclical ave rages. Positively, A-REIT residential developers are winning market share, production constraints are easing and construction cost inflation is moderating. Medium-term support from undersupply and migration remains intact.

• Headwinds for fund managers persist. Transaction volumes are subdued, downward valuation pressure remains and equity inflows have slowed with some funds needing to satisfy redemptions.

• Self-storage FY24 revenue growth is slowing to long-run ~4-5% from elevated levels during the pandemic years. In FY23 occupancy loss was offset by rate growth. For both National Storage REIT (NSR) and Abacus Storage King (ASK) development is a key growth driver with attractive returns.

Auckland Airport (AIA) resumed paying dividends as FY23 passenger volumes recovered to 75% of 2019, aided by international back to 86% in Jun-23 but domestic plateauing at 84% due to airline capacity constraints. AIA guided to higher profitability in FY24, albeit less than expected, due to a continued recovery in passengers and retail income, property developments and higher aeronautical tariffs associated with its monumental $6.6bn 10-yr capex plan which includes a new domestic terminal.

Toll road operator Transurban (TCL) reported an FY23 result which slightly missed expectations due to higher costs and weaker traffic in the fourth quarter, with Sydney and Melbourne still below 2019. Future earnings growth is underpinned by new road development completions and TCL remains interested in acquiring a stake in Eastlink. The new CEO will likely maintain the existing strategic focus on growing a sustainable dividend as traffic stabilises on new road developments, rather than pursuing new capital intensive pro jects.

Performance Commentary - July 31, 2023

Performance Commentary - June 30, 2023

Performance Commentary - May 31, 2023

Performance Commentary - April 30, 2023

Performance Commentary - March 31, 2023

Performance Commentary - February 28, 2023

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