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Pendal Active Conservative Fund Fund Commentary December 31, 2020
The Fund outperformed the benchmark over the month of December. Active positioning contributed very strongly to returns again in December, rounding off a very successful year for active asset allocation in Pendal’s diversified funds. Our active tilts at the start of December remained risk-on but less so than the prior month, continuing the recent trend in our positioning as selected markets reach expensive extremes.
The portfolio held overweights in a range of under-valued equity markets, underweights in expensive equity markets, and long volatility carry. Fixed income positions are relative value in nature. In commodities, we held long positions in copper, gold and Brent crude oil. In equities, our active positioning driven by valuation insights held overweights in Mexico’s Bolsa, long positions in the futures of EURO STOXX 50 dividends paid in the calendar year 2024 and FTSE 100 dividends paid in the calendar year 2023 and overweights to both global and Australian listed property, all of which screened amongst the most under-valued markets in the universe which we monitor. The portfolio was long equity volatility carry through VIX futures. On the other side we held short positions the Italian FTSE MIB, French CAC 40 and US S&P-500 indices, all of which are considered expensive within our valuation framework. Our trend-following process held an overweight to S&P-500, offsetting the abovementioned valuation underweight. At the end of the month new trend-driven overweights were initiated in S&P/ASX-200 and German Dax indices.
In fixed income, the portfolio was directionally neutral with modest overweights in Australian and Canadian 10-year bonds offset by underweights in German Bunds, US 10-year Notes and UK Gilts. The Australian “3s-10s curve flattener” (which holds a long position in 10-year bond futures combined with a larger notional short position in 3-year bond futures) was held unchanged and we added to the Australian 10s-20s curve flattener. In commodities, the portfolio was long copper, gold and Brent crude oil.
Our active positioning at the start of January is more risk-on than in recent months. The portfolio is positioned with overweights in a range of under-valued equity markets, underweights in expensive equity markets, long equity volatility carry and overweight markets exhibiting strong upward trends. Fixed income positions are relative value in nature. In commodities, we hold long positions in copper, gold and Brent crude oil.
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