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Pendal Ethical Share Fund Commentary December 31, 2020
The Fund underperformed the benchmark over the month of December.
Contributors
Overweight
Fortescue Metals Iron ore miners, Fortescue Metals (FMG, +11.5%) continued to rise on the back of the strong iron ore price – seaborne iron ore surpassed US$160/mt over the month, a price level that was last seen in 2011. End-of-year restocking, as well as concerns that recommendations on the government inquest into the Juukan Gorge incident may have some impact on supply.
Overweight Xero
Our preferred tech name, Xero (XRO, +10.8%) continued to rise on the back of a good set of results released in November. While new subscriber growth softened in the US and UK, in line with expectations given the challenges in attracting new customers during the Covid period, there was stronger than expected subscriber growth in Australia and New Zealand. Given these are highly penetrated markets, this may suggest a further post-Covid shift in mentality towards the importance of online cloud-based accounting. Overall, we believe XRO’s growth is a function of several macro and secular drivers combined with solid execution.
Detractors
Do not hold BHP
Iron ore miners, including BHP (+11.5%) continued to rise on the back of the strong iron ore price – seaborne iron ore surpassed US$160/mt over the month, a price level that was last seen in 2011. End-of-year restocking, as well as concerns that recommendations on the government inquest into the Juukan Gorge incident may have some impact on supply.
Overweight Qantas
Qantas (QAN, -9.9%) gave up some recent gains in December. It provided an update which was encouraging, with domestic capacity set to ramp up to 80% of pre-Covid levels. Debt was a little higher than expected. However there was a lot of focus on the enterprise value (EV), which is returning to pre-Covid levels, potentially prompting some profit-taking from investors who bought it as a recovery play. In our view, this misses the impact of a large return of working capital, which is likely to drive the EV higher. We see more upside from current levels.
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